PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability78-79°F 39%-0.5%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.9K
Liquidity
$21.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.8% / 5.0%
Spread
31.6%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 12, 26, 1:02 AMJul 13, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
78-79°F39%
Compare venues· 78-79°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall84% match · auto | High | 41% | — | $5.7K | $3.6K | 1 minute ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis pageMost active | Medium | 39% | — | $6.9K | $21.9K | 6 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Seattle on Jul 13, 2026?
23h
18%
41%
2%
+3 more outcomes
77 • High qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$5.7K
24h Vol$5.7K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$6.9kJul 122d of dataJul 13
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KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.