PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability33°C 71%+47.5%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$113.4K
Liquidity
$119.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 11, 26, 4:03 AMJul 13, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
33°C71%
Large trades
$1.0k99.8%Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13? — Noy111m111h ago
$1.2k98.6%Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13? — No0x4fc3…3af95h ago
Volume trend
$113.4kJul 113d of dataJul 13
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KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.