PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability68-69°F 38%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$5.3K
Liquidity
$41.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
37.0% / 38.0%
Spread
2.7%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 8, 26, 2:03 AMJul 9, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
68-69°F38%
Compare venues· 68-69°F
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageMost active | 38% | — | $5.3K | $41.8K | 10 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi | 40% | — | $4.6K | $3.7K | 5 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 8, 2026?
1d
10%
40%
37%
+3 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.6K
24h Vol$4.6K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 7, 2026?
$522.4K77° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 8?
$239.4K28°C: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 8?
$150.2K31°C: 81%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 8?
$135.5K36°C: 58%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Seattle on Jul 7, 2026?
$99.9K74° or below: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 7, 2026?
$51.3K111° to 112°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.