PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability35°C 44%+12.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$57.5K
Liquidity
$61.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 21.0%
Spread
10.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 6, 26, 4:03 AMJul 8, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
35°C44%
Large trades
$1.3k99.9%Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or below on July 8? — No0xbc14…fb5521h ago
Volume trend
$57.5kJul 63d of dataJul 8
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POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.