Current implied probability
74° or below 1%-2.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$97.3K
Liquidity
$52K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 6, 26, 2:00 PMJul 8, 26, 8:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
74° or below1%
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 8?
1.5%9h
+9.0%32%
+7.0%28%
-1.5%17%
+8 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$15.8K
24h Vol$15.5K
POLYMARKETRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 7, 2026, is less than 75° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$97.3kJul 63d of dataJul 8
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 7, 2026, is less than 75° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.