Current implied probability
65° to 66° 45%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.1K
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
40.0% / 41.0%
Spread
2.5%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 2:00 PMJul 9, 26, 8:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
65° to 66°45%
Volume trend
$3.1kJul 72d of dataJul 8
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 8, 2026, is less than 63° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.