PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 25°C
Resolved: Oct 6, 2026, 10:51 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
26°C0%
27°C1%
23°C7%
25°C100%
24°C5%
28°C0%
25°CWon
20°C or belowLost
21°CLost
22°CLost
23°CLost
24°CLost
26°CLost
27°CLost
28°CLost
29°CLost
30°C or higherLost
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
