PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 13°C
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 11:11 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 2:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
13°C68%
10°C0%
12°C67%
14°C3%
15°C8%
16°C1%
9°C0%
7°C or below0%
13°CWon
Before close: 100% ·
10°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
11°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
12°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
14°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
15°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
16°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
17°C or higherLost
Before close: 0% ·
7°C or belowLost
Before close: 0% ·
8°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
9°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Paris-Le Bourget Airport (LFPB) on 24 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Paris-Le Bourget Airport (LFPB) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.