PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 7°C
Resolved: Oct 26, 2026, 11:19 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
7°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
32%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 11:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
7°C100%
10°C7%
11°C1%
12°C0%
13°C or higher3%
3°C or below0%
4°C1%
5°C1%
6°C11%
8°C61%
9°C9%
7°CWon
10°CLost
11°CLost
12°CLost
13°C or higherLost
3°C or belowLost
4°CLost
5°CLost
6°CLost
8°CLost
9°CLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Paris-Le Bourget Airport (LFPB) on 26 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Paris-Le Bourget Airport (LFPB) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
