PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability88-89°F 34%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$36.7K
Liquidity
$72.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.7% / 4.2%
Spread
13.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 16, 26, 1:03 AMJul 17, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
88-89°F34%
Compare venues· 88-89°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 34% | — | $36.7K | $72.1K | 4 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi84% match · auto | Low | 31% | — | $0 | $5.6K | 24 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 17, 2026?
1d
31%
29%
19%
+3 more outcomes
40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.8K
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.