PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability28°C 31%-3.5%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$39.4K
Liquidity
$60.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.1% / 4.1%
Spread
95.2%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 15, 26, 4:03 AMJul 17, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
28°C31%
Volume trend
$39.4kJul 152d of dataJul 16
Related Markets
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 16, 2026?
$104.5K87° or above: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 17?
$88K34°C: 48%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 17?
$66.4K28°C: 32%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 16, 2026?
$44.2K88° or below: 96%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in London on July 17?
$33K28°C: 46%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 16, 2026?
$24.9K91° or below: 73%KALSHI
KALSHI
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.