PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 12°C or higher
Resolved: Oct 30, 2026, 9:21 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
12°C or higher
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
68%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 4:06 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
12°C or higher100%
10°C0%
11°C0%
8°C1%
9°C2%
2°C or below0%
3°C0%
4°C0%
5°C0%
6°C0%
7°C0%
12°C or higherWon
10°CLost
11°CLost
2°C or belowLost
3°CLost
4°CLost
5°CLost
6°CLost
7°CLost
8°CLost
9°CLost
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Vnukovo International Airport (UUWW) on 30 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Vnukovo International Airport (UUWW) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.