PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
27°C 33.3%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.8K
Liquidity
$36.3K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 15, 26, 4:57 AM UTCSep 17, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Chicago+19.0pt95%
- Miami+16.0pt69%
- Seattle+22.0pt30%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $149.5K
- 24h Vol
- $146.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026?
- 77° to 78°48.6%
- 79° to 80°33.6%
- 75° to 76°10.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $75.5K
- 24h Vol
- $74.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 15, 2026?
- 90° to 91°59.8%
- 92° to 93°22.4%
- 88° to 89°14.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.3K
- 24h Vol
- $40.3K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 16?
- 24°C+5.0pt38%
- 23°C+15.5pt36%
- 25°C-14.0pt12%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
- ↑2k+0.2pt100%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 15, 2026?
- 72° to 73°55.1%
- 70° to 71°32.7%
- 74° to 75°7.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $31K
- 24h Vol
- $30.8K
- Highest temperature in London on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 15, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 15, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Manila on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 16?
- Highest temperature in NYC on September 16?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Madrid on September 17??
- Polymarket prices 27°C at 33% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Madrid on September 17? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 17? is scheduled to resolve on September 17, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Madrid on September 17? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.