PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
18°C 35%+6.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$125.1
Liquidity
$7.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
37.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 4:30 AM UTCSep 16, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 17?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Madrid on September 16?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 15, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Chicago on Sep 15, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 15, 2026?
KalshiWill the lowest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) be below 68 F on September 15, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Chicago+19.0pt95%
- Miami+16.0pt69%
- Seattle+22.0pt30%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $149.5K
- 24h Vol
- $146.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026?
- 77° to 78°48.6%
- 79° to 80°33.6%
- 75° to 76°10.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $75.5K
- 24h Vol
- $74.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 15, 2026?
- 90° to 91°59.8%
- 92° to 93°22.4%
- 88° to 89°14.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.3K
- 24h Vol
- $40.3K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 16?
- 24°C+5.0pt38%
- 23°C+15.5pt36%
- 25°C-14.0pt12%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
- ↑2k+0.2pt100%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 15, 2026?
- 72° to 73°55.1%
- 70° to 71°32.7%
- 74° to 75°7.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $31K
- 24h Vol
- $30.8K
- Highest temperature in London on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 15, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 15, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Manila on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 16?
- Highest temperature in NYC on September 16?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 16??
- Polymarket prices 18°C at 35% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 16? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 16? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 16? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.