PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 15°C
Resolved: Oct 31, 2026, 9:41 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
15°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
69%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
13°C1%
14°C0%
16°C0%
17°C0%
15°C99%
11°C0%
12°C0%
18°C0%
10°C0%
15°CWon
10°CLost
11°CLost
12°CLost
13°CLost
14°CLost
16°CLost
17°CLost
18°CLost
19°C or higherLost
9°C or belowLost
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) on 31 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Istanbul Airport (LTFM) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.