PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 15°C
Resolved: Nov 2, 2026, 9:41 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 2, 2026, 9:35 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
15°CWon
13°CLost
10°C or belowLost
14°CLost
11°CLost
12°CLost
16°CLost
17°CLost
18°CLost
19°CLost
20°C or higherLost
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) on 2 Nov '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Istanbul Airport (LTFM) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.