PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 78-79°F
Resolved: Oct 31, 2026, 6:12 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
78-79°F
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
45%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 10:56 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
78-79°F100%
74-75°F0%
76-77°F0%
80-81°F0%
82-83°F0%
88°F or higher0%
69°F or below0%
70-71°F0%
86-87°F0%
78-79°FWon
69°F or belowLost
70-71°FLost
72-73°FLost
74-75°FLost
76-77°FLost
80-81°FLost
82-83°FLost
84-85°FLost
86-87°FLost
88°F or higherLost
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) on 30 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.