PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 34°C
Resolved: Aug 7, 2026, 2:58 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 7, 2026, 2:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
34°C 100%+60.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$26.6K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 25 days ago
StaleAug 4, 26, 4:03 AMAug 6, 26, 12:00 PM
Probability Timeline
32°C16%
30°C4%
31°C3%
33°C41%
34°C100%
35°C0%
36°C0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
