PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
29°C 35.9%+1.5ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$22.1K
Liquidity
$47.9K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 31, 26, 4:56 AMSep 2, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 1, 2026?
- 76° to 77°+47.0pt95.2%
- 75° or below-24.0pt1%
- 80° to 81°-3.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $514.2K
- 24h Vol
- $503K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 1, 2026?
- Houston+7.0pt99%
- Miami+22.0pt99%
- New Orleans+25.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $289.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- 89° to 90°+71.0pt94.3%
- 91° to 92°-48.0pt1.9%
- 87° to 88°-5.0pt0.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 1, 2026?
- 82° or below+41.0pt95.2%
- 83° to 84°-31.0pt1%
- 85° to 86°-5.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHILowest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- 75° to 76°+29.0pt40.5%
- 77° to 78°+1.0pt32.4%
- 74° or below+12.0pt18%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 1, 2026?
- 93° to 94°+70.0pt95.2%
- 95° or above-22.0pt1%
- 91° to 92°-31.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Washington DC on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Denver on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 1, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 75 F on September 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 1, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2??
- Polymarket prices 29°C at 36% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2? is scheduled to resolve on September 2, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.