PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 31°C
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 7:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 2:28 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
32°C37%
33°C3%
31°C65%
30°C31%
34°C1%
25°C or below0%
31°CWon
Before close: 100% ·
25°C or belowLost
Before close: 0% ·
26°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
27°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
28°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
29°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
30°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
32°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
33°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
34°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
35°C or higherLost
Before close: 0% ·
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG) on 24 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.