PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 30°C
Resolved: Oct 26, 2026, 2:57 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
30°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
45%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
31°C25%
32°C2%
33°C1%
30°C100%
29°C4%
34°C0%
35°C0%
30°CWon
26°C or belowLost
27°CLost
28°CLost
29°CLost
31°CLost
32°CLost
33°CLost
34°CLost
35°CLost
36°C or higherLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the Hong Kong Consumer Price Index exceed -0.6% in December 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
