PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability86-87°F 40%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$12.5K
Liquidity
$60.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.2% / 0.4%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 15, 26, 1:04 AMJul 16, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
86-87°F40%
Compare venues· 86-87°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 40% | — | $12.5K | $60.5K | 18 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi84% match · auto | Low | 47% | — | $1.3K | $1.2K | 18 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 16, 2026?
1d
47%
27%
21%
+3 more outcomes
36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.4K
24h Vol$1.3K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.