Current implied probability
86° to 87° 39%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$433.4
Liquidity
$342.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
36.0% / 37.0%
Spread
2.8%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 15, 26, 2:00 PMJul 17, 26, 5:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
86° to 87°39%
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If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 84°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 84-85°, then the market resolves to Yes.