PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability29°C 39%+26.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$26.9K
Liquidity
$42.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
20.5% / 23.4%
Spread
14.2%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 4:03 AMJul 16, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
29°C39%
Volume trend
$26.9kJul 142d of dataJul 15
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.