Current implied probability
78° or above 1%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$44.1K
Liquidity
$41.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 2:00 PMJul 16, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
78° or above1%
Large trades
$2.3k85.0%
KALSHI70° to 71° — No6h ago
KALSHI70° to 71° — No6h agoVolume trend
$44.1kJul 142d of dataJul 15
Related Markets
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 15, 2026?
$99.4K86° or above: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 15, 2026?
$57.3K96° or below: 58%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 15, 2026?
$40.3K95° or below: 52%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 16?
$41.8K16°C: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 16?
$30.2K80-81°F: 41%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 16?
$25.7K33°C: 38%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.NewsGoogle Expands Gemini Spark to macOS, Adds New App IntegrationsBlockchain.News
Anthropic's Claude Sonnet 5 Closes In on Opus 4.8 at a Fraction of the PriceDecryptAI Legal Document Review Gains Momentum in 2026Blockchain.NewsRules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Minneapolis for Jul 15, 2026, is less than 70° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIMSP can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=mpx, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Minneapolis/St Paul, MN" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.