Current implied probability
96° or below 58%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$57.3K
Liquidity
$44.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
58.0% / 59.0%
Spread
1.7%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 2:00 PMJul 16, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
96° or below58%
Volume trend
$57.3kJul 142d of dataJul 15
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 15, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 97°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 15, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 97-98°, then the market resolves to Yes.