PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
2,400-2,500 62.1%+17.0ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.2K
Liquidity
$51.6K
High liquiditySpread
0.7 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 26, 26, 4:00 PMSep 2, 26, 4:00 PM
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Related Cryptos
Rules
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Gemini — ETH price on September 2 · $2,320 or above 95%