PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
40-64 63.1%+3.0ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
40-64 63.1%+3.0ptMarket quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$12.4K
Liquidity
$60K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Sep 26, 26, 4:07 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Elon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027?
Manifold MarketsAriana Grande: Highest daily view count (September 21, 2026 - September 27, 2026)
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 28 12:00 PM ET to September 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.