PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Up (100%)
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, 9:15 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Up
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Up
- Recorded
- Jul 21, 2026, 9:31 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityUp 100%+0.8pt
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$994.1
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleJul 19, 26, 8:07 PMJul 21, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Up100%
Down0%
Coin Price Context
Coin price movements are shown for context and do not imply causation.
DOGE$0.07 → $0.07+1.5%
100%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Up
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $994.1 | $0 | 6 days ago | |
 LimitlessMost active60% match · auto | Low | 59% | — | $238.3K | $0 | 6 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
DOGE Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
Yes (58.5%)
58.5%
41.5%
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$394K
24h Vol$238.3K
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Jul 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 21 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Jul 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 21 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$994Jul 203d of dataJul 22
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Jul 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 21 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Jul 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 21 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.