Settled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 26, 2026, 4:59 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Completed Match100%
Machac vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 — Over100%
Machac vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5 — Over100%
Machac vs. Minaur: Match O/U 23.5 — Over100%
Set 1 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur — Tomas Machac100%
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — Over100%
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — Over100%
Tomas Machac vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.5100%
Tomas Machac0%
Game Spread: Alex de Minaur (-3.5) vs Tomas Machac (+3.5) — Alex de Minaur0%
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — Over0%
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over0%
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — Over0%
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — Over0%
Set 2 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur — Tomas Machac0%
Set Handicap: Alex de Minaur (-1.5) vs Tomas Machac (+1.5) — Alex de Minaur0%
Completed MatchWon
Before close: 52% ·
Machac vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 — OverWon
Before close: 56% ·
Machac vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5 — OverWon
Before close: 48% ·
Machac vs. Minaur: Match O/U 23.5 — OverWon
Before close: 43% ·
Set 1 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur — Tomas MachacWon
Before close: 37% ·
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — OverWon
Before close: 48% ·
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — OverWon
Before close: 48% ·
Tomas Machac vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.5Won
Before close: 39% ·
Tomas MachacLost
Before close: 32% ·
Game Spread: Alex de Minaur (-3.5) vs Tomas Machac (+3.5) — Alex de MinaurLost
Before close: 50% ·
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — OverLost
Before close: 28% ·
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — OverLost
Before close: 78% ·
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — OverLost
Before close: 53% ·
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — OverLost
Before close: 48% ·
Set 2 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur — Tomas MachacLost
Before close: 64% ·
Set Handicap: Alex de Minaur (-1.5) vs Tomas Machac (+1.5) — Alex de MinaurLost
Before close: 44% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev
PolymarketErste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima
PolymarketErste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe
PolymarketErste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
PolymarketErste Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
PolymarketRules
This market refers to the tennis match between the named outcome and Alex de Minaur in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'the named outcome' if the named outcome advances against Alex de Minaur.
- This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
