PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Alphabet (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Alphabet 100%+8.6ptLeader of 29 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$13K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-62.5 pts
Market data
Updated 25 days ago
StaleMay 16, 26, 12:20 AMJun 30, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Alphabet100%
Apple0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Alphabet
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $13K | $0 | 25 days ago | |
 Manifold Markets82% match · verified | — | 100% | — | — | — | 26 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
2nd largest company end of June 2026?
Closed
Resolved
Alphabet (Google) (99.8%)
+8.8pt99.8%
0.1%
-0.8pt0%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast55 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.