Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Alphabet (Google) (99.8%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 4:32 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Alphabet (Google)
- Recorded
- Jul 25, 2026, 5:51 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current community forecastAlphabet (Google) 99.8%+8.8ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
55
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleJun 1, 26, 5:54 PMJul 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Probability Timeline
NVIDIA0%
Apple0%
Alphabet (Google)99.8%
Microsoft0.1%
Amazon0%
Meta0.7%
Tesla0.6%
Other0.3%
0%
0%
99.8%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Alphabet (Google)
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall82% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $13K | $0 | 25 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 100% | — | — | — | 26 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
2nd largest company end of June?
8.4 ptsClosed
Resolved
Alphabet (100%)
+8.6pt100%
-0.3pt0%
-8.4pt0%
+26 more outcomes
27 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$973.8K
24h Vol$13K
POLYMARKETRules
This market will resolve to the second largest company in the world by market cap at the end of June 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com
- @g56EQlNOPz (this market)
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to the second largest company in the world by market cap at the end of June 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com
- @g56EQlNOPz (this market)