Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 87.5%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleOct 15, 23, 5:40 PM UTCJan 1, 34, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
He has never won a World Tour race which is quite unusual for a rider with his palmares.
- (I .e Giro GC 3rd, Tour GC 5th)
- He currently rides for Jumbo-Visma more as a domestique.
- His contract ends in 2025.
- He was born in 1991.
- This question will be resolved if he wins or retires.
