Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 63.2%
Forecasters
36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Feb 17, 24, 2:23 PM UTCMar 1, 39, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?
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Manifold MarketsWill we get room temperature superconductors before 2032?
Manifold MarketsNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2039.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-e940f30870be
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ebfceb8eefc5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-f41118c07313
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-3ccf49dbe194
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $297.1K
- 24h Vol
- $283.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- 91° or above+29.0pt93.3%
- 89° to 90°-21.0pt2.9%
- 87° to 88°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 10, 2026?
- 90° to 91°+52.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-31.0pt1%
- 92° to 93°-17.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+19.0pt58.1%
- 84° or below26.7%
- 87° to 88°-15.0pt12.4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $76.5K
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay+2.0pt37%
- Gonzalo+2.0pt27%
- Hanna+4.0pt16%
+18 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Oklahoma City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+11.0pt40%
- 83° to 84°-1.0pt18%
- 87° to 88°-9.0pt15%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 10, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 11?
- Highest temperature in London on September 11?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 63% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039? resolve?
- Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2039.
- How is Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2039.