Will Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation be charged by the SEC with selling unregistered securities by the end of 2030?

EthereumOne-OffCrypto Regulation Crime & Justice4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 84.7%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 16 hours ago

Stale

Dec 30, 22, 2:44 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC

Outcome24hChance

Rules

The SEC seems to be charging every crypto project ever launched with this recently, independent of whether or not they actually defrauded anybody, and leaning toward either crypto projects big enough to make headlines (Ripple) or projects SEC AUSAs find personally distasteful (LBRY).

Will this list soon include Ethereum or its founders?

Open markets

Ethereum

POLYMARKET

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

↓ 2,30059%
↑ 2,400-43.5pt34%
↓ 2,200-2.1pt7%

+45 more outcomes

Total Vol: $3.9M
24h Vol: $325.3K

POLYMARKET

What price will Ethereum hit October 26-November 1?

↓ 2,30075%
↑ 2,400-30.0pt40%
↓ 2,200-1.5pt15%

+14 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Ethereum above ___ on October 30?

1,900+0.1pt100%
2,000100%
2,100+0.6pt100%

+8 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What price will Ethereum hit on October 29?

↓ 2,30018%
↓ 2,2503%
↑ 2,4002%

+11 more outcomes

Total Vol: $50.5K

POLYMARKET

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

↓ 2,25070%
↓ 2,00031%
↑ 3,000-1.5pt23%

+27 more outcomes

Total Vol: $18.9M

KALSHI

How high will Ethereum get in 2026?

Above $3,500.00-1.0pt10.5%
Above $3,750.00+1.0pt8.5%
Above $4,000.00-1.0pt

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation be charged by the SEC with selling unregistered securities by the end of 2030??: Manifold Markets prices No at 84.7% as of October 29, 2026.
When does Will Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation be charged by the SEC with selling unregistered securities by the end of 2030? resolve?: Will Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation be charged by the SEC with selling unregistered securities by the end of 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
How is Will Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation be charged by the SEC with selling unregistered securities by the end of 2030? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The SEC seems to be charging every crypto project ever launched with this recently, independent of whether or not they actually defrauded anybody, and leaning toward either crypto projects big enough to make headlines (Ripple) or projects SEC AUSAs find personally distasteful (LBRY).

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Will Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation be charged by the SEC with selling unregistered securities by the end of 2030?

Open markets

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

What price will Ethereum hit October 26-November 1?

Ethereum above ___ on October 30?

What price will Ethereum hit on October 29?

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

How high will Ethereum get in 2026?

Related Cryptos

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

What price will Ethereum hit October 26-November 1?

Ethereum above ___ on October 30?

What price will Ethereum hit on October 29?

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

How high will Ethereum get in 2026?