Current community forecast
No 59.9%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJan 9, 23, 6:13 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Vitalik Buterin, the founder of Ethereum.
- This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
- The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
- To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.
Open markets
Ethereum
LIMITLESSETH Up or Down - Daily
- No58.6%
- Yes41.4%
- Total Vol
- $308.4K
- 24h Vol
- $308.4K
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900+0.5pt100%
- 2,000+0.5pt100%
- 2,100+0.5pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $154.9K
- 24h Vol
- $128.4K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in September?
- ↑ 2,500+28.9pt100%
- ↓ 2,400100%
- ↑ 2,400100%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- ↑ 2,500+18.4pt100%
- ↑ 2,250+42.5pt100%
- ↑ 2,000+13.4pt100%
+27 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit on September 8?
- ↑ 2,500100%
- ↓ 2,450100%
- ↑ 2,5502%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $64.6K
POLYMARKETWhat chain will LAPTOP launch on?
- Base+1.6pt96%
- No launch-0.4pt3%
- Solana+0.3pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- What price will Ethereum hit September 7-13?
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 11?
- How high will ETH get in September?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 10?
- How low will Ethereum get in 2026?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 13?
- ETH price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Ethereum price on September 9?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 14?
- Ethereum price at the end of 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 60% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? resolve?
- Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Vitalik Buterin, the founder of Ethereum.