Will Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

EthereumOne-OffCrypto Crime & Justice3y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 93.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 27 minutes ago

Nov 29, 22, 3:46 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.

Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.
Part of a large question series.
Question is global -- charges in any country count.
Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if they are not found not guilty.
Examples that count: wire fraud, perjury, assault, arson, theft.

Open markets

Ethereum

POLYMARKET

What price will Ethereum hit October 5-11?

↓ 2,50084%
↑ 2,600+5.5pt9%
↓ 2,400-8.3pt3%

+19 more outcomes

Total Vol: $949.2K
24h Vol: $213.9K

KALSHI

ETH price on Oct 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

$2,420 or aboveStored bid–ask99%–100%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 06:43 PM UTC
$2,460 or aboveStored bid–ask98%–99%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 06:43 PM UTC
$2,380 or above

POLYMARKET

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

↓ 2,250-1.5pt51%
↑ 3,000+2.0pt43%
↓ 2,000-1.0pt26%

+27 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

↑ 2,600+7.0pt74%
↓ 2,400-8.0pt68%
↓ 2,50058%

+27 more outcomes

KALSHI

ETH price range on Oct 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

$2,500 to 2,539.99Stored bid–ask71%–86%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 06:07 PM UTC
$2,460 to 2,499.99Stored bid–ask13%–29%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 06:07 PM UTC
$2,420 to 2,459.99

POLYMARKET

Ethereum above ___ on October 11?

2,200+0.3pt100%
2,300+0.7pt100%
2,400+2.9pt99%

+8 more outcomes

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030??: Manifold Markets prices No at 93.4% as of October 10, 2026.
When does Will Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030? resolve?: Will Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
How is Will Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.

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Will Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Open markets

What price will Ethereum hit October 5-11?

ETH price on Oct 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

ETH price range on Oct 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Ethereum above ___ on October 11?

Related Cryptos

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

What price will Ethereum hit October 5-11?

ETH price on Oct 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

ETH price range on Oct 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Ethereum above ___ on October 11?