Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 72.7%
Forecasters
225
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 29, 22, 4:57 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
2023-02-15 Update: Resolves positively if, by the end of 2027, Twitter has incorporated prediction market services into their platform.
- Can resolve positively early if Twitter incorporates prediction market functionality ahead of the closing date.
- Events that make a positive resolution likely:
- Functionality is added such that, in addition to Tweets or alongside a Tweet, users or organizations can create public or private markets (using play or real currency) on questions about future events
- Twitter refers to a new capability as a "prediction market"
- A service of Twitter's looks and feels like Manifold / PredictIt / PolyMarket's UX