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Meta's prediction platform PROP BETS.

Middle EastOne-OffTech5mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Jun 25, 2026, 11:03 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3

Current community forecast

Meta will launch a standalone prediction market app by end of 2026 69%

Leader of 3 outcomes

Forecasters

6

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 32 days ago

Stale

Jun 23, 26, 7:54 PMDec 31, 26, 8:48 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Meta will launch a standalone prediction market app by end of 202669%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Standalone App Launch

Resolution: Meta publicly releases a dedicated forecasting application by Dec 31, 2026, 23:59:59 UTC.
Access: Downloadable via Apple App Store, Google Play Store, or a public web URL.
Internal employee betas or closed, invite-only developer phases resolve as NO.
Interface: Must run natively within its own app envelope.
Using Instagram or Facebook for account login is permitted, but the core forecasting engine cannot be a sub-menu inside those apps.

Related Markets

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Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies

>18.5 at end of 2025/08: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

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Before Sep 1, 2026: 8%

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)

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Rules

Standalone App Launch

Resolution: Meta publicly releases a dedicated forecasting application by Dec 31, 2026, 23:59:59 UTC.
Access: Downloadable via Apple App Store, Google Play Store, or a public web URL.
Internal employee betas or closed, invite-only developer phases resolve as NO.
Interface: Must run natively within its own app envelope.
Using Instagram or Facebook for account login is permitted, but the core forecasting engine cannot be a sub-menu inside those apps.