Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastMeta's prediction market platform will flop. 51.3%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJun 23, 26, 7:54 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 8:48 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Standalone App Launch
- Resolution: Meta publicly releases a dedicated forecasting application by Dec 31, 2026, 23:59:59 UTC.
- Access: Downloadable via Apple App Store, Google Play Store, or a public web URL.
- Internal employee betas or closed, invite-only developer phases resolve as NO.
- Interface: Must run natively within its own app envelope.
- Using Instagram or Facebook for account login is permitted, but the core forecasting engine cannot be a sub-menu inside those apps.
