Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 89.8%
Forecasters
29
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Oct 16, 23, 12:16 PM UTCJun 2, 30, 3:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
The threshold that the world's scientists determined as safe