New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030?

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 52.3% as of October 19, 2026.

When does New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030 resolve?

New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

How is New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030 settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the annual temperature anomaly (against the 1960-1990 baseline period for long-term climate change assessments used by StatsNZ) is not recorded to be below +1°C in any years leading up but not including 2030.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 19, 2026?

• West Palm Beach+80.0pt99.5%
• Albuquerque+17.0pt64.5%
• Miami-17.0pt24.5%

+32 more outcomes

Total Vol

$463.5K

24h Vol

$410K

KALSHI

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 19, 2026?

• 62° to 63°+44.0pt99.5%
• 64° to 65°-27.0pt0.5%
• 60° to 61°-13.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?

• 85° to 86°+34.0pt99.5%
• 83° to 84°-8.0pt0.5%
• 87° to 88°-19.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Denver on Oct 19, 2026?

• 71° to 72°+61.0pt94%
• 73° or above+6.0pt5.5%
• 69° to 70°-48.0pt

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 20, 2026?

• Albuquerque48.5%
• Miami44.5%
• West Palm Beach36.5%

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 19, 2026?

• 67° to 68°+42.0pt99.5%
• 69° to 70°-20.0pt0.5%
• 65° to 66°-22.0pt

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• Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 78 F on October 19, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?