Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 9:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 76.4%
Forecasters
58
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleOct 2, 22, 1:11 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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