What are the current odds for Will the Tampa Bay Rays leave St. Petersburg before 2028??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 54.6% as of October 13, 2026.

Will the Tampa Bay Rays leave St. Petersburg before 2028?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 54.6%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Stale

Jul 13, 23, 1:22 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 5:00 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

The Tampa Bay Rays lease at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg expires in 2027.

If by 2028 they leave Pinellas County for Tampa, Orlando, or somewhere else, this market will resolve YES.
If they sign a lease somewhere in Pinellas County (it does not necessarily need to be the same stadium) prior to 2028, this market will resolve NO.