Current implied probability
Boston 5%+2.0%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$39.8K
Liquidity
$1.9M
High liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
25.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Dec 17, 25, 3:00 PMOct 31, 28, 4:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Boston5%
Compare venues· New York Y
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 25% | — | $39.8K | $1.9M | 7 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket88% match · verified | Medium | 27% | — | $2.2K | $1.1M | 13 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets85% match · linked | — | 29% | — | — | — | 12 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets85% match · linked | — | 29% | — | — | — | 12 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
MLB: 2026 American League Champion
1.4%3mo
27%
21%
+0.4%15%
+13 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.1M
24h Vol$2.2K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win 2026 MLB ALCS? ⚾ (American League Championship Series)
4mo
-0.1%3.2%
+0.6%6.9%
-0.5%3.2%
+8 more outcomes
Community forecast6 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win 2026 MLB ALCS? ⚾ (American League Championship Series)
3mo
+0.1%3%
+0.2%6.6%
+0.1%3.1%
+8 more outcomes
Community forecast12 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If Seattle win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kansas City win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If New York Y win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Cleveland win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Boston win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Detroit win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$39.8kJul 212d of dataJul 13
Related Markets
MLB: Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals (Jul 12, 2026)
$1MSTL: 42%ROTHERA
ROTHERAMLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers (Jul 12, 2026)
$477.3KLAD: 81%ROTHERA
ROTHERA
Pro Baseball Champion
$398.7KChicago C: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Home Run Derby Winner
$293.8KWillson Contreras: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Home Run Derby: Finals Matchup
$97.9KKyle Schwarber and Jac Caglianone: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
MLB World Series Champion 2026
$85.7KLos Angeles Dodgers: 28%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket Golden Ball market stays 50-50 as World Cup quarter-finals loomBlockchain.News
Ripple becomes Kansas Jayhawks sports sponsor with XRP patch to appear on jerseysThe Block
Ronaldo says World Cup goodbye as Polymarket Golden Ball odds sit at 50%Blockchain.News
Kraken’s FIFA deal: Crypto’s first world cupCrypto News
Ads3 and Sportix Accelerate AI-Powered SportsFi GrowthBlockchain Reporter
Germany out on pens, Polymarket keeps 5+ missed kicks favored at 45.45%Blockchain.NewsRules
If Seattle win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kansas City win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If New York Y win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Cleveland win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Boston win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Detroit win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.