Current implied probability
New York Yankees 26%+0.5ptLeader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
82 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$900.4K
High liquiditySpread
1.7 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+2.4 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Feb 19, 26, 4:09 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2026 MLB American League West Winner
Manifold Markets2026 MLB American League Central winner
Manifold MarketsAmerican League Cy Young Finalists
KalshiAmerican League MVP Finalists
KalshiWho will win the American League Cy Young Award in the 2026 MLB season?
Manifold MarketsCaribbean Premier League Champion
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
- If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — American League Champion · New York Y 23%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will win 2026 MLB ALCS? ⚾ (American League Championship Series) · New York Yankees 25%
Open markets
BaseballKALSHIPro Baseball Champion
- Los Angeles D-0.9pt29.5%
- Milwaukee+1.2pt14.3%
- New York Y10.5%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $69M
- 24h Vol
- $526.4K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox (Sep 8, 2026)
- BOS+1.0pt57.8%
- LAA42.2%
- Total Vol
- $146.7K
- 24h Vol
- $146.7K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 8, 2026)
- MIA-4.0pt51%
- NYM+5.0pt49%
- Total Vol
- $143.1K
- 24h Vol
- $143.1K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees (Sep 8, 2026)
- NYY+3.0pt75.5%
- COL-2.0pt24.5%
- Total Vol
- $118.4K
- 24h Vol
- $118.4K
KALSHITampa Bay vs Atlanta: Total Runs
- Over 2.5 runs scored90%
- Over 4.5 runs scored87%
- Over 5.5 runs scored75%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $105.5K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHIPro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers
- Boston+1.0pt99%
- Atlanta99%
- New York Y99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.2M
- 24h Vol
- $99.6K
- MLB: Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves (Sep 8, 2026)
- MLB: Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies (Sep 8, 2026)
- St. Louis vs San Francisco
- Minnesota vs Detroit: Total Runs
- Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines
- MLB: Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles (Sep 8, 2026)
- Minnesota vs Detroit
- Texas vs Seattle: Total Runs
- Washington vs San Diego
- Houston vs Philadelphia
- September 9 Minnesota vs Detroit
- LG Twins vs Hanwha Eagles
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for MLB: 2026 American League Champion?
- Polymarket prices New York Yankees at 26% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does MLB: 2026 American League Champion resolve?
- MLB: 2026 American League Champion is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.
- How is MLB: 2026 American League Champion settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
- Where else is MLB: 2026 American League Champion listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Manifold Markets.