Current implied probability
New York Yankees 27%Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.3K
Liquidity
$1M
High liquidityBid / Ask
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
12.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Feb 19, 26, 4:09 PMNov 1, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
New York Yankees27%
Compare venues· New York Yankees
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall88% match · verified | Medium | 28% | — | $33.5K | $2.2M | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
 PolymarketThis page | Medium | 27% | — | $2.3K | $1M | 16 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets85% match · verified | — | 32% | — | — | — | 8 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets85% match · verified | — | 29% | — | — | — | 25 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
American League Champion
3.0%2y
+2.0%28%
+1.0%15%
+3.0%13%
+12 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.4M
24h Vol$33.5K
KALSHIAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win 2026 MLB ALCS? ⚾ (American League Championship Series)
3mo
+2.7%31.6%
+1.8%20.8%
+0.8%10.4%
+8 more outcomes
Community forecast9 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win 2026 MLB ALCS? ⚾ (American League Championship Series)
3mo
-1.2%29.3%
+1.0%27.5%
+0.3%9.3%
+8 more outcomes
Community forecast12 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
- If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.0k94.0%KALSHIChicago WS — No6d ago
KALSHIChicago WS — No6d ago$1.1k96.0%KALSHIDetroit — No7d ago
KALSHIDetroit — No7d ago$2.2k93.0%KALSHIBoston — No7d ago
KALSHIBoston — No7d ago$1.2k95.0%KALSHIHouston — No11d ago
KALSHIHouston — No11d ago$2.7k95.0%KALSHIToronto — No19d ago
KALSHIToronto — No19d ago$1.3k94.0%KALSHIChicago WS — No20d ago
KALSHIChicago WS — No20d agoVolume trend
$2.3kJul 225d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals (Jul 25, 2026)
$558.1KWSH: 44%ROTHERA
ROTHERA
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay
$354.3KTampa Bay: 56%KALSHI
KALSHI
Pro Baseball Champion
$304.4KDetroit: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fukuoka Hawks vs Saitama Seibu Lions
$225KFukuoka Hawks: 91%KALSHI
KALSHI
MLB World Series Champion 2026
$107.5KLos Angeles Dodgers: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETMLB: Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers (Jul 25, 2026)
$57.3KTEX: 50%ROTHERA
ROTHERAActive in these topics
Related News
Galaxy Digital’s $75 Million Texas Tech Stadium Deal Is Crypto’s Boldest Branding Bet YetBlockchain Reporter
Galaxy Digital plants its name on Texas Tech football stadiumCrypto News
Galaxy Digital puts its name on Texas Tech football stadium in 15-year partnershipThe Block
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
SodaBot Integrates with SportixAI to Advance AI-Powered SportsFI InfrastructureBlockchain Reporter
Ripple becomes Kansas Jayhawks sports sponsor with XRP patch to appear on jerseysThe BlockRules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
- If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.