GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Cleveland 56%Leader of 15 outcomes
Cleveland 56%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$905
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Apr 15, 26, 1:39 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will win 2026 MLB ALCS? ⚾ (American League Championship Series)
Manifold MarketsMLB World Series winner - National vs American League
Manifold MarketsWho will win 2026 MLB ALCS? ⚾ (American League Championship Series)
Manifold MarketsAmerican League Cy Young Finalists
KalshiWho will win the American League Cy Young Award in the 2026 MLB season?
Manifold MarketsAmerican League MVP Finalists
KalshiRules
Which team will win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship?
- If Cleveland wins the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from AP, Fox Sports, ESPN, and the Governing League.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Cleveland is 57%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Cleveland 57% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — MLB: 2026 American League Champion · Cleveland Guardians 56%
- Also available on Kalshi — American League Champion · Cleveland 50%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will win 2026 MLB ALCS? ⚾ (American League Championship Series) · Cleveland Guardians 56%
