Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 88.8%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMay 5, 25, 2:31 AM UTCDec 31, 49, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the domino-toppling world record be broken before 2030?
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KalshiRules
Resolves yes if the record is affirmed by World Athletics.
- If World Athletics goes defunct I will consider whatever the closest equivalent is.
- Update 2025-09-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The time must be faster than the current world record (as of now).
- If the current WR is later vacated and a slower time becomes the WR, breaking that later WR without beating the current record does not count.
