Will the first $10 Trillion company be a company other than Apple or Microsoft?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the first $10 Trillion company be a company other than Apple or Microsoft??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 79% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will the first $10 Trillion company be a company other than Apple or Microsoft? resolve?

Will the first $10 Trillion company be a company other than Apple or Microsoft? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2051.

How is Will the first $10 Trillion company be a company other than Apple or Microsoft? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Link: https://companiesmarketcap.com/

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $76,500 or above99.5%
• $76,000 or above99.5%
• $76,250 or above99.5%

+77 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.6M

24h Vol

$1.6M

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 31, 2026?

• Oklahoma City+40.0pt99.5%
• Austin+60.0pt99.5%
• Miami+8.0pt99.5%

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?

• 420-439+8.2pt21.6%
• 400-419+5.8pt19.6%
• 380-399+2.0pt13.4%

+27 more outcomes

KALSHI

BTC price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?

• $68,000 or above96.5%
• $65,000 or above98%
• $65,500 or above98%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google-5.5pt53.5%
• Anthropic+5.5pt38.4%
• OpenAI+0.1pt6.1%

+12 more outcomes

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.9pt16.8%
• 80,000 to 84,999.99+0.4pt14.6%
• 70,000 to 74,999.99+0.6pt

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• Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 31, 2026?
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