What are the current odds for 🚅 Will the California High Speed Rail Initial Operating Segment open by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 95.3% as of October 26, 2026.

🚅 Will the California High Speed Rail Initial Operating Segment open by 2030?

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Current community forecast

No 95.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 19 hours ago

Stale

Oct 26, 23, 3:51 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

The California High Speed Rail system is designed to connect San Francisco and Los Angeles with 220mph high speed trains.

The project, which has encountered numerous setbacks, is set to open it's first segment from Merced to Bakersfield in 2030, as of October 2023.
Resolves to YES if the HSR is open to the public by December 31st, 2030.
Resolves NO if the date is pushed back.