Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 68.9%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleMar 2, 25, 8:57 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Elon officially announce a flying car by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Boeing have a Flying Car in use on at least one commercial route by the end of 2030?
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Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRules
Seems like the next step after self-driving cars: a self-flying car.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $844.6K
- 24h Vol
- $817.6K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+45.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.3pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+5.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+7.5pt55.9%
- 65-89+13.0pt33.3%
- 90-114+1.9pt5.9%
+7 more outcomes
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- Best AI at the end of 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Tesla announce they are working on a flying car by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 69% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Tesla announce they are working on a flying car by 2030? resolve?
- Will Tesla announce they are working on a flying car by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will Tesla announce they are working on a flying car by 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Seems like the next step after self-driving cars: a self-flying car.